Who is Boris Johnson ?
Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson born on 19 June 1964 is a British politician serving as the Prime minister of United Kingdom and Leader of the Conservative Party since July 2019. He has became MP in 2001 for the first time . He also served as Mayor of London from 2008 to 2016. Johnson has been associated with both economically and Socially Liberal policies.
In February 2016, Johnson endorsed Vote leave in the "Out" campaign for the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum.
He called Cameron's warnings about leaving "greatly over exaggerated".
Following this announcement, which was interpreted by financial markets
as making Brexit more probable.He is considered as a brash standard-bearer for a British exit from the
European Union.
Mr Boris Johnson is a former journalist and the author of a Winston
Churchill biography whose ambition as a child was to become “world
king.”
After becoming 25th Prime minister of UK
He won the contest to become the next prime minister on
Tuesday, at a critical moment in his country’s history and with less
political clout than just about any of its leaders since the Second
World War.He may promised to carry out Britain’s labyrinthine
exit from the European Union by Oct. 31, But His Conservative Party holds only a slim working majority in Parliament.He will also enter 10 Downing Street at a moment when the country is
confronting a crisis with Iran over its seizure last week of a
British oil tanker, threatening to draw Britain into a larger
showdown between Tehran and Washington.
Mr. Johnson seemed to acknowledge some incongruity by himself on Tuesday after the result were announced.“I
know that there will be people around the place who will question the
wisdom of your decision, and there may even be some
people here who still wonder quite what they have done.”he saaid at Coservative party meeting.
Mr.
Johnson has a long track record of statements about Iran, Brexit and
other subjects, but there is no consensus on how he might actually act
as prime minister.
The Fate of Brexit
President Trump congratulated Mr Johnson on Twitter and added
Brexit
will define Mr. Johnson’s legacy as well as Britain’s place in the
world.
Mr Johnson promise to pull it off by Oct. 31 “do or die” has already
met deep skepticism within his party.
“We’re going to get Brexit done on Oct. 31, we’re going to take
advantage of all the opportunities that it will bring in a new spirit of
can-do, and we’re once again going to believe in ourselves,” Mr.
Johnson vowed anew on Tuesday. “Like some slumbering giant, we’re going
to rise and ping off the guy-ropes of doubt and negativity.”
But is it really that simple ? No , Not really .For an orderly exit that minimizes economic disruption, Mr. Johnson must
convince both the British Parliament and the European Union to agree on
an exit deal, a task his predecessor, Ms. May, found impossible.Ms May had to step down when UK and the EU agreed a second delay to Brexit, it is due to
happen on 31 October. Cross-party talks between the government and
Labour to try to find a compromise ended without an agreement.Theresa May repeatedly lost votes in the House of Commons on her deal.Apart from that The debate over Brexit has prompted renewed talk about possible Scottish independence and a united Ireland, raising questions about the durability of the United Kingdom itself.
So what are the Options ?
1. Return of the previous deal
Mr Johnson going to push for returning of the previous deal by overruling the existing deal by Ms May although Brexit by october is still unlikely .If MPs can't agree on anything else some MPs who previously voted against the existing deal could switch sides to prevent no deal or no Brexit.
2.Further delay
This is the most likely scenario right now . There's no legal obstacle to a further delay. The new government could ask for additional time - perhaps to hold another vote or to allow more preparations for a no-deal Brexit.It's not clear whether the EU would agree. It would have to be approved unanimously by all the other member state
3. No deal
No-deal Brexit is still the default outcome if MPs can't agree anything else and there are no further extensions. The deadline is 31 October.It would also be possible for MPs to back a no-deal Brexit although there has been a majority against that option when they have voted on it before.After Borish johnson became PM the option is slim.In an interview, Tony Blair, a former Labour Party prime minister, called a “no deal” Brexit a huge risk for Mr. Johnson as well as for Britain.If blocked by lawmakers, Mr. Blair said, a failed attempt at a “no deal” exit could force a general election or possibly a second referendum.
4.Another referendum
A further possibility is to hold another referendum.It could have the same status as the 2016 referendum, which was legally non-binding and advisory. But some MPs want to hold a binding referendum where the result would automatically take effect - like with the 2011 referendum on changing the voting system for UK general elections.
One widely discussed option would be for a "confirmatory vote" on whatever deal is finally agreed where the public would be given the choice between accepting the existing deal (or an alternative plan) and remaining in the EU.
5. Cancel Brexit
The European Court of Justice has ruled that it would be legal for the UK to unilaterally revoke Article 50 to cancel Brexit (without the need for agreement from the other 27 EU countries).It's not totally clear what the process would be. But an act of Parliament calling for Article 50 to be revoked would probably be sufficient.But is very very unlikely till Mr. Boris Johnson is PM .
Mr. Johnson has declined it completely, perhaps hoping to use the threat as leverage in talks with E.U. leaders. But the costs of a “no deal” Brexit would be four times as large for the British as for the rest of the European Union collectively, one recent report found. The European Union receives about 13 percent of Britain’s economic output, while exports from the E.U. to the U.K. account for 2.5 percent of the bloc’s output.
.
So whatever is going to be the case next few months are very crucial for Mr Johnson, UK and EU. Let us prepare for the worst and hope for the best.
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